The Bulls Continue To Bet On The Fed

The rally looked set to continue into Thursday. At around 6:20AM ET (11:20 GMT), the blue-chip Dow futures were up 78 points, or around 0.3%. Futures for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also ticked higher. The market is betting the Fed will cut rates in July, with odds currently standing at around 73%, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor.

But more importantly, the Fed is no longer expanding their balance sheet and the fed funds rate is near 2.5%. Also, it isn’t just the Fed extracting liquidity, Central Banks globally are curtailing their "emergency measures." Still, the bulls continue to operate under the assumption the Federal Reserve has eliminated the business cycle.

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This is one time where the Fed’s actions will have an immediate and dramatic affect on the price of gold and silver. They can drop or rise rapidly, based on the Fed’s actions. Sinclair would say the Fed will jawbone the dollar up but will continue with “QE to Infinity,” either in the open or covertly. He says the Fed has no other choice.

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The drivers which facilitate the bull run, and the catalyst which ends it, are ALWAYS different. It is just investor behavior which is always the same. The Bulls Continue To Bet On The Fed

 · The Federal Reserve shows no bias to hike nor cut interest rate. Fed chairman jerome powell believes subdued inflation is “transitory”. U.S. stocks fell and the Dollar strengthens as odds of a rate cut drops. Technical Analysis using Elliott Wave suggests U.S. Dollar should continue to.

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the bulls continue to bet on the fed! We dig into the rising risks in the market being ignored on the basis of the # Fed coming to the rescue. # Corporate # debt raises concerns.

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 · BlackRock still sees a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting ; BOJ’s Funo says must maintain low rates for a long period ; The BOJ has reduced its buys of 3-5 year and 10-25 year JGBs